OZIQ-OVQAT BOZORI RIVOJLANISHINI PROGNOZLASH MEXANIZMINI OʻRGANISH METODIKASI
Keywords:
oziq-ovqat bozori,, prognozlash,, ekonometrik model,, ARIMA,, ARDL,, regressiya tahlili,, narx dinamikasi,, iste’mol, import,, bozor barqarorligi.Abstract
This article analyzes the theoretical and practical aspects of
studying the mechanisms for forecasting the development of the food market. The
study studied the main components of the food market, the internal and external
factors that affect it and their relationship. Also covered are modern econometric
techniques used in forecasting, in particular regression analysis, Time Series
models (ARIMA, ARDL), and their practical significance.
The article developed a methodology for the formation of forecasting
mechanisms based on food prices, consumption volumes and import indicators.
The results of the study are important in ensuring food security, strengthening
market stability and maintaining effective economic policies.
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