BARQAROR TARMOQLARNING IQTISODIY O'SISHGA TA'SIRINI BAHOLASHNING DOLZARB MODELLARI: O'ZBEKISTON TAJRIBASI
Keywords:
barqaror tarmoqlar, iqtisodiy o'sish, VAR-model, raqamli infratuzilma, O'zbekiston, multiplikator ta'sir, panel ma'lumotlar.Abstract
This article analyzes modern models of increasing the impact of
industries such as digital and transport infrastructure on economic indicators in
Uzbekistan. Additional results are presented based on statistical data of
Uzbekistan for 2015-24 using vector autoregression (VAR), panel data processing methods and endogenous growth theory. According to the multiplier
effect of 1.38, the multiplier effect of 1.38 and the capacity of the transport
network, which accounts for 18-24% of trade, are shown. Based on the data
obtained, recommendations are made on economic policy aimed at developing
management in Uzbekistan.
References
Aschauer, D. A. (1989). Is public expenditure productive? Journal of Monetary Economics, 23(2), 177–200.
Barro, R. J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S103–S125.
Calderón, C., & Servén, L. (2008). Infrastructure and Economic Development in Sub-Saharan Africa. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 4712.
Czernich, N., Falck, O., Kretschmer, T., & Woessmann, L. (2011). Broadband infrastructure and economic growth. The Economic Journal, 121(552), 505–532.
Dabla-Norris, E., Brumby, J., Kyobe, A., Mills, Z., & Papageorgiou, C. (2012). Investing in public investment: An index of public investment efficiency. Journal of Economic Growth, 17(3), 235–266.
Donaldson, D. (2018). Railroads of the Raj: Estimating the impact of transportation infrastructure. American Economic Review, 108(4–5), 899–934.
International Telecommunication Union (ITU). (2023). Measuring Digital Development: Facts and Figures 2023. Geneva: ITU Publications.
Karimov, B. A. (2023). Raqamli transformatsiyaning iqtisodiy o‘sishga ta’siri: O‘zbekiston misolida tahlil. O‘zbekiston Iqtisodiyoti Jurnali, 4(2), 45–58.
Katz, R., & Callorda, F. (2018). The Economic Contribution of Broadband, Digitization and ICT Regulation. ITU Broadband Series.
Lim, J., & Lim, J. (2019). Infrastructure investment and economic growth in Central Asia: Evidence from panel data. Asian Development Review, 36(1), 1–24.
Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3–42.
Mirzayev, T., & Xoliqov, S. (2022). Transport infratuzilmasi va eksport o‘sishi: O‘zbekiston ma’lumotlari asosida tahlil. Moliya va Iqtisodiyot, 3(1), 12–26.
Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S71–S102.
O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Statistika qo‘mitasi. (2025). O‘zbekiston raqamlarda 2024. Toshkent: Statistika nashriyoti.
World Bank. (2024). World Development Indicators. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group. World Development Indicators